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High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction Project
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Aladin forecasters meeting, Lisbon, 21-23 September 2015
Article published on 8 October 2015
last modification on 2 November 2015

by Patricia

During the 2014 forecasters meeting, it was concluded that: “Forecasters need guidance to interpret high-resolution model output. This was a recurring problem during the discussions and emphasized by several forecasters. This related to the intrinsic stochastic nature of clouds and microphysics processes. It was also concluded that the human eye is not capable of interpreting a weather map in a probabilistic sense; i.e. it is not possible to interpret spatial variation in forecast patterns as probabilities over a wider area.†So the development of convection-permitting EPS systems will be crucial. Thus, the scientific presentations of the 2015 forecasters meeting focused on convection-permitting EPS.
Special presentation: “Interactive lakes in NWP†. Lake’s – natural or artificial (like the reservoirs and dams) - representation and parametrization on operational NWP models contribute to a better simulation of the models’ surface physical conditions. However, due to the fact that there is no real-time dissemination of the Lake’s observations, the impact of lakes parametrization in NWP can not be operationally monitored by a direct way. This can only be done through a priori validation studies (like fields campaigns) or post-mortem studies. Forecasters may have a view on the impact of misrepresenting lakes in regional NWP and we see this as an opportunity to open discussion on the topic inside the ALADIN community. The Alqueva Lake in Portugal is the biggest artificial lake in Europe and Évora University, which is active in this water reservoir modeling, has recently organized the event "Lake 2015 workshop" (http://www.lake15.cge.uevora.pt/). Therefore the local organization has invited Rui Salgado from Évora University to provide a debriefing of this SRNWP event.

Participants

Maria João Frada joao.frada.at.ipma.pt Portugal
Lidija Fustar lidija.fustar.at.cirus.dhz.hr Croatia
Rafal Kielar rafal.kielar.at.imgw.pl Poland
Iveta Kodádková iveta.kodadkova.at.gmail.com Czech Republic
Kornél Kolláth kollath.k.at.met.hu Hungary
Tomislav Kozaric tomislav.kozaric.at.cirus.dhz.hr Croatia
Khaoula Melki khaoula.enit.at.gmail.com Tunisia
Janko Merše janko.merse.at.gov.si Slovenia
Maria José Monteiro maria.monteiro.at.ipma.pt Portugal
Laure Raynaud laure.raynaud.at.meteo.fr France
João Rio joao.rio.at.ipma.pt Portugal
Rui Salgado rsal.at.uevora.pt Portugal
Miroslav Singer miroslav.singer.at.gmail.com Slovakia
Geert Smet geert.smet.at.meteo.be Belgium
Ricardo Tavares ricardo.tavares.at.ipma.pt Portugal
Piet Termonia piet.termonia.at.meteo.be Belgium
Joris Van Den Bergh joris.vandenbergh.at.meteo.be Belgium
Thomas Vanhamel vanhamel.at.meteo.be Belgium
Florien Weidle florian.weidle.at.zamg.ac.at Austria
Christoph Zingerle christoph.zingerle.at.zamg.ac.at Austria

Photos


Documents
2015 Forecasters meeting (agenda and participants) 223 kb / PDF

aladinmeeting2015_ipma_nelas.pdf 5.8 Mb / PDF

aladin_croatia_fm_lisboa.pdf 4.1 Mb / PDF

alad_meeting_kodadkova_cz.pdf 9.5 Mb / PDF

forecasters_meeting_piet.pdf 1.8 Mb / PDF

forecaster_meeting_lisboa_2015.pdf 8.7 Mb / PDF

joris-lisbon2015-glameps-short.pdf 1.9 Mb / PDF

laef_forecastersmeeting_2015.pdf 6.4 Mb / PDF

m_singer_lisbon_2015.pdf 4.3 Mb / PDF

presentationcpeps_aladin_forecasters_meeting_2015_geert_smet.pdf 1.2 Mb / PDF

presentation_aladin_fx.pdf 2.1 Mb / PDF

prez.pdf 2.1 Mb / PDF

salgado_r_2015_aladin_2forecasters_meeting.pdf 4.9 Mb / PDF

tunisian_national_institute_of_meteorology.pdf 5.4 Mb / PDF