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Publications dans des revues à comité de lecture


2019

Statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts of the height of new snow
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 26, 339–357
Nousu, J.-P., Lafaysse, M., Vernay, M., Bellier, J., Evin, G., and Joly, B. 2019
Modelling spatially correlated observation errors in variational data assimilation using a diffusion operator on an unstructured mesh.
Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Guillet, O. , Weaver, A. T., Vasseur, X. , Michel, Y. , Gratton, S. and Gürol, S. 2019
The AROME-WMED re-analyses of the first Special Observation Period of the Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean experiment.

Fourrié N., M. Nuret, P. Brousseau, O. Caumont, A. Doerenbecher, E. Wattrelot, P. Moll, H. Bénichou, D. Puech, and al. 2019
Improving Background Error Covariances in a 3D Ensemble–Variational Data Assimilation System for Regional NWP
MWR, 147, 1
Caron J-F., Y. Michel, T. Montmerle, E. Arbogast 2019
Object-based verification metrics applied to the evaluation and weighting of convective-scale precipitation forecasts
Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
L. Raynaud , Pechin I., Arbogast P., Rottner L. Destouches M. 2019
The similarity-based method: a new object detection method for deterministic and ensemble weather forecasts
Advances in Sccience and Research
Lucie Rottner, Philippe Arbogast, Mayeul Destouches, Yamina Hamidi, and Laure Raynaud 2019

2018

The North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Schäfler A., G. Craig, P. Arbogast 2018
Clustering and selection of boundary conditions for limited area ensemble prediction.
Royal Meteorological Society DOI: 10.1002/qj.3304
Bouttier F. and L. Raynaud 2018
Les modèles opérationnels de prévision numérique à aire limitée de Météo-France
La Météorologie, vol. 100, pp. 18-28
Fischer C., Bouyssel F., Brousseau P., El Khatib R., Pottier P., Seity Y., Wattrelot E., Joly A. 2018
Revisiting Fisher's approach to the handling of horizontal spatial correlations of the observation errors in a variational framework
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Article ID:QJ3249 Article DOI:10.1002/qj.3249
Michel, Y. 2018

2017

Lagrangian dynamics of the mistral during the HyMeX SOP2.
Journal of Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, Volume : 122, Issue : 3, Pages : 1387-1402. Published: FEB 16 2017
Drobinski, P., B. Alonzo, C. Basdevant, P. Cocquerez, A. Doerenbecher, N. Fourrié and M. Nuret 2017
The impact of horizontal resolution and ensemble size for convective-scale probabilistic forecasts.
Quartely Journal Royal Meteorological Society, Volume : 143, Issue : 709, Pages : 3037-3047, Part : B, Doi : 10.1002/qj.3159. Published : OCT 2017.
Raynaud, L. and F. Bouttier 2017
Le vendeur de glaces et le chaos : Expliquer la prévision probabiliste à travers un jeu.
La Météorologie, 96, 21.
Labadie C., P. Cébron, P. Raynaud, L. Descamps, P. Arbogast 2017

2016

Object-oriented processing of CRM precipitation forecasts by stochastic filtering
QJRMS
Arbogast P., O. Pannekoucke, L. Raynaud, R. Lalanne and E. Mémin 2016
Progress towards high-resolution, real-time radiosonde reports.
BAMS doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00169.1
B. Ingleby, P. Pauley, A. Kats, J. Ator, D. Keyser, A. Doerenbecher, E. Fucile, J. Hasegawa and E. Toyoda, T. Kleinert, 2016
From the Kalman Filter to the Particle Filter: A geometrical perspective of the curse of dimensionality.
Monthly Weather Review
Pannekoucke O., P. Cebron, N. Oger, L. Raynaud and Ph. Arbogast 2016
Low-atmospheric drifting balloons: platforms for environment monitoring and prediction.
BAMS
Doerenbecher A., C. Basdevant, Ph. Drobinski, C. Fesquet, F. Bernard, P. Durand, Ph. Cocquerez, N. Verdier and A. Vargas 2016
Forecast variance reduction field a new tool for adaptive observation: ensemble versus adjoint computation.
Monthly Weather Review
Oger N., O. Pannekoucke, A. Doerenbecher and P. Arbogast 2016

2015

Calibrating short-range ensemble forecasts using estimated model error variances.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141, 687, 449–458. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2365
Boisserie M., L. Descamps and P. Arbogast 2015
Land surface initialization strategy for a global reforecast dataset.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., DOI: 10.1002/qj.2688
Boisserie M., B. Decharme, L. Descamps and P. Arbogast 2015
Calibrated forecasts of extreme wind-storms using EFI and SOT
Weather and Forecasting, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0027.1
Boisserie M., L. Descamps, P. Arbogast 2015
Role of moist processes in the tracks of idealized mid-latitude surface cyclones
J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 2979–2996. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0337.1
Coronel B. , Ricard D., Rivière G., Arbogast P 2015
PEARP, the Météo-France short-range ensemble prediction system
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141,1671–1685. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2469
Descamps L., C. Labadie, A. Joly, E. Bazile, P. Arbogast, P. Cebron 2015
The link between the North Pacific climate variability and the North Atlantic Oscillation in terms of downstream development
Journal of Climate, 28, No. 10, 3957-3976. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00552.1
Drouard M., G. Rivière and P. Arbogast 2015
Eddy kinetic-energy redistribution within idealized extratropical cyclones using a two-layer quasi-geostrophic model. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Volume: 141, Issue: 686, Pages: 207-223, Part: A, Doi : 10.1002/qj.2350
Rivière G. , P. Arbogast et A. Joly 2015
Eddy kinetic energy redistribution within wind-storms Klaus and Friedhelm
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 141, 925-938. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2412
Rivière G., P. Arbogast and A. Joly 2015
Sensitivity of the AROME ensemble to initial and surface perturbations during HyMeX
Quaterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2622
Bouttier F., L. Raynaud, O.Nuissier and B. Ménétrier 2015
Application of a Bayesian weighting for short-range lagged ensemble forecasting at the convective scale
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 141, 687, 459–468. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2366
Raynaud L., O. Pannekoucke, P. Arbogast and F. Bouttier 2015
Comparison of initial perturbation methods for ensemble prediction at convective scale
Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2686
Raynaud, L. and Bouttier, F. 2015
Extra-tropical Cyclones
Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd edition, 5, 304–336.
Joly A. 2015
Observation impact over the southern polar area during the Concordiasi field campaign
Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi : 10.1002/qj.2470.
Boullot, N., Rabier, F., Langland, R., Gelaro, R., Cardinali, C., Guidard, V., Bauer, P. and Doerenbecher, A. 2015
AROME-WMED, a real-time mesoscale model designed for the HyMeX Special Observation Periods.
Geoscientific Model Development Discussion, 8, 1801-1856, doi:10.5194/gmdd-8-1801-2015.
Fourrié N., E. Bresson, M. Nuret, C. Jany, P. Brousseau, A. Doerenbecher, M. Kreitz, O. Nuissier, E. Sevault, H. Bénicho 2015
A multi-instrument and multi-model assessment of atmospheric moisture variability over the western Mediterranean during HyMeX.
Quaterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1002/qj.2671
Chazette, P., Flamant, C., Shang, X., Totems, J., Raut, J.-C., Doerenbecher, A., Ducrocq, V., Fourrié, N., Bock, O. and 2015
Offshore deep convection initiation and maintenance during I0P16a Offshore deep convection initiation and maintenance during HyMeX IOP 16a heavy precipitation event.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., Accepted manuscript online: 18 DEC 2015. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2725
Duffourg F., O. Nuissier, V. Ducrocq, C. Flamant, P. Chazette, J. Delano, A. Doerenbecher, N. Fourrié, P. Di Girolamo, C 2015

2014

Estimating and diagnosing model error variances in the Meteo-France global NWP model.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Boisserie M., P. Arbogast, L. Descamps, O. Pannekoucke and L. Raynaud. 2014
Calibrating short-range ensemble forecasts using estimated model error variances.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Boisserie M., L. Descamps, P. Arbogast 2014
Emulation of a Kalman filter algorithm on a flood wave propagation model.Hydrol.
Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.
Barthélémy S., S. Ricci, O. Pannekoucke, O. Thual1, and P.O. Malaterre 2014
Development and evaluation of the Meteo-France ensemble reforecast dataset.
uart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Boisserie M., B. Decharme, P. Arbogast, L. Descamps 2014
Observation impact over the southern polar area during the Concordiasi field campaign.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Boullot N., F. Rabier, R. Langland, R. Gelaro, C. Cardinali, V. Guidard, P. Bauer, A. Doerenbecher 2014
PEARP, the Meteo-France short-range ensemble prediction system.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Descamps L., C. Labadie, A. Joly, E. Bazile, P. Arbogast, P. Cébron 2014
The link between the North Pacific climate variability and the North Atlantic Oscillation in terms of downstream development.
Journal of Climate
Drouard M., G. Rivière et P. Arbogast 2014
The occurrence density of tracked tropopause coherent structures around intensifying mid-latitude surface cyclones.
JAS
Gilet J-B, M. Plu, A. Joly et P. Arbogast 2014
Genetic particle filter application to land surface temperature downscaling.
Geophysical Research Letters
Mechri R., C. Ottle, O. Pannekoucke, A. Kallel 2014
Sensitivity of the position and variability of the eddy-driven jet to different SST profiles in an aqua-planet general circulation model.
JAS
Michel C., G. Rivière 2014
Forecast variance reduction field a new tool for adaptive observation: ensemble versus adjoint computation.
Monthly Weather Review
Oger N., O. Pannekoucke, A. Doerenbecher and P. Arbogast 2014
A wavelet-based filtering of ensemble background-error variances.
Pannekoucke O., L. Raynaud, and M. Farge
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 2014
Modelization of local length-scale dynamics and isotropization deformations.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Pannekoucke O., E. Emili, and O. Thual. 2014
From the Kalman Filter to the Particle Filter: A geometrical perspective of the curse of dimensionality.
Monthly Weather Review
Pannekoucke O., P. Cebron, N. Oger, L. Raynaud and Ph. Arbogast 2014
Application of a Bayesian weighting for short-range lagged ensemble forecasting at convective scale.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Raynaud L., O. Pannekoucke, P. Arbogast and F. Bouttier 2014
Understanding the regeneration stage undergone by syrface cyclones crossing mid-latitude jet in a two-layer model.
JAS
Rivière G. 2014
Eddy kinetic-energy redistribution within idealized extratropical cyclones using a two-layer quasi-geostrophic model.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Rivière G. , P. Arbogast et A. Joly 2014

2013

Estimating model error variances for ensemble forecasting.
Monthly Weather Review
Boisserie M. 2013
The occurrence density of tracked tropopause coherent structures around intensifying mid-latitude surface cyclones.
JAS
Gilet J-B, M. Plu, A. Joly et P. Arbogast 2013
Estimating deformations of random processes for correlation modelling in a limited area model.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Michel Y. 2013
Estimating deformations of random processes for correlation modelling: methodology and the one-dimensional case.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Michel Y. 2013
A wavelet-based filtering of ensemble background-error variances.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Pannekoucke O., L. Raynaud, and M. Farge. 2013
Modelization of local length-scale dynamics and isotropization deformations, part1: case of small deformations.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Pannekoucke O., L. Raynaud, E. Emili, and O. Thual. 2013
Modelization of local length-scale dynamics and isotropization deformations, part2: General solution in 2D.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Pannekoucke O., L. Raynaud, E. Emili, and O. Thual. 2013
Sampling properties and spatial filtering of ensemble background error length-scales.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Raynaud L and O. Pannekoucke 2013
Understanding the regeneration stage undergone by syrface cyclones crossing mid-latitude jet in a two-layer model.
JAS
Riviere G. 2013
The North Atlantic Oscillation response to large-scale atmospheric anomalies in the Northeast Pacic.
JAS
Drouard M., G. Riviere, and P. Arbogast 2013
Application of a Bayesian weighting for short-range lagged ensemble forecasting at convective scale
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., QJ-13-0076
Raynaud L., O. Pannekoucke, P. Arbogast and F. Bouttier 2013
Estimation des erreurs de prévision pour l’assimilation de données
La Météorologie, 80
Raynaud L. 2013
Diagnostics on the cost-function in variational assimilations
NPG
Michel Y. 2013
Genetic particle filter application to land surface temperature downscaling
Geophysical Research Letters
Mechri R., C. Ottle, O. Pannekoucke, A. Kallel 2013
Dynamical and physical proces1 ses leading to tropical cyclone 2 intensification under upper-level trough forcing
JAS, 70, 2547-2565
Leroux M-D., M. Plu, D. Barbary, F. Roux and P. Arbogast 2013
HyMeX, les campagnes de mesures : focus sur les événements extrêmes en Méditerranée
La Météorologie, 80, 37
Ducrocq, V.; Belamari, S.; Boudevillain(...),Doerenbecher, A.,(...),Arbogast, P.,(...) 2013
HyMeX-SOP1, the field campaign dedicated to heavy precipitation and flash-flooding in the northwestern Mediterranean
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Ducrocq V., I. Braud; S. Davolio,(...),A. Doerenbecher,(...) 2013
HyMeX, le cycle de l’eau méditerranéen à la loupe
La Météorologie, 80, 23
Drobinski, P.; Ducrocq, V.; Arbogast, P,(...);Doerenbecher, A.,(...) 2013
Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology
éditée par Robert A. Meyers
Drobinski Ph., P. Cocquerez, A. Doerenbecher, T. Hock, C. Lafaysse, D. Parson, J-L. Redelsperger and S. Vénel 2013
Boundary Layer Pressurized Balloons Deployed in the Mediterranean. in Proc.
21st ESA Symposium European Rocket & Balloon Programmes and Related Research
Doerenbecher A., C. Basdevant, F. Bernard, Ph. Cocquerez, N. Verdier and P. Durand 2013

2012

About the reliability of manual model PV corrections to improve forecasts.
WAF
Arbogast P., K. Maynard, C. Piriou 2012
Development of a soil moisture analysis for sub-seasonal forecasting. Part I: Soil moisture validation
Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D10105
Boisserie, M. and S. Cocke 2012
Importance of using ensemble estimated background error covariances for the quality of atmospheric ozone analyses.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, nr 665, 889-905
Massart S., A. Piacentini and O. Pannekoucke 2012
The dynamical link between surface cyclones, upper-tropospheric Rossby wave breaking and the life cycle of the Scandinavian blocking.
GRL, 39, L10806
Michel C., G. Riviere, L. Terray et B. Joly 2012
Assessing the trajectory influence in adaptive observation Kalman filter sensitivity method.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 813-825. DOI: 10.1002/qj.950
Oger N., O. Pannekoucke, A. Doerenbecher and P. Arbogast 2012
On the Northward Motion of Midlatitude Cyclones in a Barotropic Meandering Jet.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69, No. 6, 1793-1810. DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0267.1
Oruba L., G. Lapeyre and G. Riviere 2012
Accounting for model error in the Meteo-France ensemble data assimilation system.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 249-262. DOI: 10.1002/qj.906
Raynaud L., L. Berre and G. Desroziers 2012
Heterogeneous filtering of ensemble-based background-error variances.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 1589-1598. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1890
Raynaud L. and O. Pannekoucke 2012
Adaptation of a particle filtering method for data assimilation in a 1D numerical model used for fog forecasting.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,138, 536-551. DOI:10.1002/qj.915
S. Remy, O. Pannekoucke, T. Bergot and C. Baehr 2012
Relationship between convection over Central America and the intensity of the jet stream bearing on the 1999 December European storms.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 377–390. DOI:10.1002/qj.931
Ricard D., P. Arbogast, F. Crépin and A. Joly 2012
A potential vorticity perspective on the motion of a mid-latitude winter storm
Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, 12, doi:10.1029/2012GL052440
Rivière G., P. Arbogast, G. Lapeyre, and K. Maynard 2012

2011

A dynamical interpretation of the poleward shift of the jet streams in global warming scenarios.
JAS
Rivière G. 2011
Adaptation of a particle filtering method for data assimilation in a 1D numerical model used for fog forecasting.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Rémy S., O. Pannekoucke, T. Bergot and C. Baehr 2011
The link between Rossby wave-breakings and weather regime transitions.
JAS
Michel C., G. Rivière 2011
The second phase of the global land-atmosphere coupling experiment: soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill.
JHM
Koster, Mahaname, Yamada, Balsamo, Berg, Boisserie... 2011
The occurrence density of tracked tropopause coherent structures around intensifying mid-latitude surface cyclones.
JAS
Gilet J-B, M. Plu, A. Joly et P. Arbogast 2011
Adaptive deployment of balloons within HyMeX.
WMO CAS/JSC WGNE Blue Book, Edited by J. Côté.
Doerenbecher, A., C. Basdevant 2011
Evolution of Météo-France global ensemble data assimilation and high resolution regional experimentation of ensemble assimilation
WMO CAS/JSC WGNE Blue Book, Edited by J. Côté.
Berre, L., P. Brousseau, L. Raynaud, G. Desroziers, C. Labadie, L. Descamps 2011
Estimating background-error variances with the ECMWF Ensemble of Data Assimilation system: some effects of ensemble size and day-to-day variability.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 423-434.
Bonavita M., L. Raynaud, L. Isaksen 2011
Heterogeneous convective-scale Background Error Covariances with the inclusion of hydrometeor variables.
Monthly Weather Review, 139, 9, pp. 2994-3015
Michel Y., T. Auligné, T. Montmerle 2011
Statistico-dynamical downscaling for Mediterranean heavy precipitation.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 736-748.
Beauland A-L., B. Joly, O. Nuissier,, S. Somot, V. Ducrocq, A. Joly, F. Sevault, M. Déqué and D. Ricard 2011
An extended specification of flow-dependent background error variances in the Météo-France global 4D-Var system.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 607-619.
Raynaud L., L. Berre and G. Desroziers 2011
The Link between Rossby Wave Breakings and Weather Regime Transitions
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 68, No. 8, August 2011: 1730-1748.
Michel.C, G.Riviere 2011
Representing model uncertainty using the multiparametrization method
séminaire du CEPMMT
L..Descamps, C. Labadie and E. Bazile 2011
A statistical downscaling to identify the Large Scale Circulation patterns associated to heavy Precipitation Events over southern France.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137: 000–000. DOI:10.1002/qj.866
O. Nuissier, B. Joly, V. Ducrocq, A. Joly, P. Arbogast 2011
A quasi-geostrophic model for moist storm-tracks.
J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 1306-1322
Laîné, A., G. Lapeyre et G. Rivière 2011
A new approach to sensitivity climatologies: the DTS-MEDEX-2009 campaign.
NHESS - Volume 11, Number 9, 2011 special Issue : 12th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Page(s) :  2381-2390
A. Jansa, P. Arbogast, A. Doerenbecher, L. Garcies, A. Genoves, V. Homar, S. Klink, D. Richardson, and C. Sahin 2011
Accounting for model error in the Météo-France ensemble data assimilation system.
QJRMS
L. Raynaud, L. Berre and G. Desroziers. 2011
Relationship between convection over Central America and the intensity of the jet stream bearing on the 1999 December European storms
QJRMS
Didier Ricard, Philippe Arbogast, Fabien Crépin et Alain Joly 2011

2010

Summer convection in the Vosges-Black forest region/COPS preliminary inverstigations
M.A.P., 103, Numbers 1-4, 105-113
Argence S., E. Richard, D. Lambert, P. Arbogast 2010
Cyclogenèses et précipitations intenses : éléments de prévisibilité, besoins en observations.
La Météorologie, 68, 23-34.
Doerenbecher A.,S. Argence, C. Cassou, O. Caumont, L. Descamps, V. Ducrocq, N. Fourrié, V. Guidard, G. Jaubert, A. Joly, 2010
Stochastic integration for the heterogeneous correlation modeling using a diffusion equation.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3356–3365.
Pannekoucke O. & L. Vezard 2010
ERTEL Potential inversion using a digital-filter-initialization method.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 134 1287-1296.
Arbogast Ph., K. Maynard and F. Crépin 2010
Displacing Potential Vorticity Structures by the Assimilation of Pseudo-observations.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 39, 549-565
Michel Y. 2010

2009

Improving the numerical prediction of a cyclone in the Mediterranean by local potential vorticity modifications.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 865-879.
Argence S., D. Lambert, E. Richard, J-P. Chaboureau, Ph. Arbogast, K. Maynard 2009
Summer convection in the Vosges-Black forest region/COPS preliminary inverstigations.
soumis à M.A.P.
Argence S., E. Richard, D. Lambert, P. Arbogast 2009
Nonlinear baroclinic dynamics of surface cyclones crossing a zonal jet.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Gilet J-B., M. Plu & G. Rivière 2009
Structure of the transport uncertainty in mesoscale inversions of CO2 sources and sinks using ensemble model simulations.
Biosciences
Lauvaux T., Pannekoucke O., Sarrat C., Chevallier F., Ciais P., Noilhan J. and Rayner P.J. 2009
Heterogeneous correlation modelling based on the wavelet diagonal assumption and on the diffusion operator.
Accepted with revision in Monthly Weather Review.
Pannekoucke O. 2009
Effect of latitudinal variations in low-level baroclinicity on eddy life cycles and upper-tropospheric wave-breaking processes.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 No 6, 1569-1592
Rivière G. 2009
The essential ingredients leading to the explosive growth stage of the European wind storm ``Lothar’’ of Christmas 1999.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc.
Rivière G., P. Arbogast, K. Maynard, et A. Joly 2009
Rossby wave breaking and the North Atlantic Oscillation in PMIP2 simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum and pre-industrial climates and in ERA40 reanalysis.
J. Climate
Rivière G., A. Lainé, G. Lapeyre, D. Salas-Mélia, et M. Kageyama 2009

2008

ERTEL Potential inversion using a digital-filter-initialization method.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 134 1287-1296
Arbogast Ph., K. Maynard and F. Crépin 2008
Intraseasonal atmospheric variability and extreme precipitation events in the European-Mediterranean region
Geophys. Res. Lett.
Sanchez Gomez, E., L. Terray, and B. Joly 2008
Northern hemisphere storm-tracks during the Last Glacial Maximum in the PMIP2 Ocean-Atmosphere coupled models : energetic study, seasonal cycle, precipitation
Clim. Dyn., DOI : 10.1007/s00382-008-0391-9
Lainé, A., M. Kageyama, D. Salas-Mélia, A. Voldoire, G. Rivière, G. Ramstein, S. Planton, S. Tyteca and J. Y. Peterschmi 2008
Background error correlation length-scale estimates and their sampling statistics.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 134 : 497-508
Pannekoucke O., L. Berre and G. Desroziers 2008
Estimation of the local diffusion tensor and normalization for heterogeneous correlation modelling using a diffusion equation.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 134 : 1425–1438
Pannekoucke O. and S. Massart 2008
A wavelet representation of synoptic-scale coherent structures
J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 3116–3138
Plu M., P. Arbogast and A. Joly 2008
Barotropic Regeneration of upper-level synoptic disturbances in different configurations of the zonal weather regime.
Journal Atmosphéric Sciences 65, 3159-3978
Rivière G. 2008

2007

Is a Real Cyclogenesis Case Explained by Generalized Linear Baroclinic Instability ?
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64, 4287-4308.
Descamps, L., D. Ricard, A. Joly, and P. Arbogast 2007
On some aspects of the definition of initial conditions for ensemble prediction.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 3260-3272.
Descamps L. et O. Talagrand 2007
Characteristics of the Atlantic storm-track eddy activity and its relation with the North Atlantic Oscillation.
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 64, 2pp. 41-266.
Rivière, G, and I. Orlanski 2007

2006

Role of the low-frequency deformation field on the explosive growth of extratropical cyclones at the jet exit Part I: barotropic critical region.
J. Atmos. Sci., 63, (8), 1965–1981
Rivière, G. and A. Joly 2006
Role of the low-frequency deformation field on the explosive growth of extratropical cyclones at the jet exit Part II: barotropic critical region.
J. Atmos. Sci., 63, (8), 1982–1995.
Rivière, G. and A. Joly 2006
L'origine des dépressions météorologiques sur l'Atlantique: nouvelle perspective climatologique
Résumé étendu dans le compte rendu des Journées thématiques d'échanges interservices: utilisation optimale des données d'observation, Météo-France, Toulouse, 29–30 novembre 2006, 4pp.
Doerenbecher, A 2006
Filtering properties of wavelets for the local background error correlations.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor.Soc.133, 363-379
Pannekoucke, O, L. Berre and G. Desroziers 2006
4D-Var analysis of potential vorticity pseudo-observation.
Quart. Jour. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, pp.1283-1298. PDF - 1.2 Mo
Guérin, R., G. Desroziers and P. Arbogast 2006

2005

A cyclogenesis evolving into two distinct scenarios and its implications for short-term ensemble forecasting.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, No. 7, 2016-2029.
Plu M., Arbogast P. 2005

2004

Frontal wave development by interaction between a front and a cyclone: application to the FASTEX IOP 17.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 1675--1696.
Arbogast, Ph 2004
Cold air cyclogenesis study using potential vorticity inversion method.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, p.2953--2970.
Lambert, D., Ph. Arbogast, J.P. Cammas, J. Donnadille, and P. Mascart 2004
Two different methods to correct the initial conditions, potential vorticity modifications and perturbations with sensitivities: an application to the 27 December storm over south of France.
Meteorol. Appl., 11, 41--57.
Hello, G. and P. Arbogast, 2004

2003

Cold air cyclogenesis study using potential vorticity inversion method.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130
Lambert, D., Ph. Arbogast, J.P. Cammas, J. Donnadille, and P. Mascart 2003
Validation and intercomparison of three mesoscale models on three FASTEX cloud systems: comparison with coarse-resolution simulations
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, (591), 1841--1872
Lopez Ph., K. Finkele, P. Clark and P. Mascart 2003
A 4D-Var re-analysis of the FASTEX experiment.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, (589), 1301--1316.
Desroziers, G., G. Hello and J.N. Thépaut 2003
A reduced rank estimate of forecast error changes due to intermittent modifications of the observing network.
J. Atmos. Sci., 60, (5), 729--742.
Leutbecher, M. 2003

2002

On the inclusion of 3D prognostic cloud and precipitation variables in adjoint calculations.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, (9), 1953--1974.
Lopez Ph. 2002
Adjoint sensitivity of the forecast to TOVS observations.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, (586), 2759--2778.
Fourrié N., A. Doerenbecher, Th. Bergot and A. Joly 2002
A study on the optimization of the deployment of targeted observations using adjoint-based methods.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 1689--1712.
Bergot T. and A. Doerenbecher 2002
ANASYG/PRESYG, Météo-France's new graphical summary of the synoptic situation.
Meteorological Applications, 9, 129--154.
Santurette P. and A. Joly 2002
Implementation and validation of a new prognostic large-scale cloud and precipitation scheme for climate and data assimilation purposes.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, (579), 229--258.
Lopez Ph. 2002

2001

Sensitivity to observations applied to FASTEX cases.
Nonlinear processes in geophysics, 8, (6), 467--481.
Doerenbecher A., T. Bergot 2001
Using adjoint sensitivity as a local structure function in variational data assimilation.
Nonlinear processes in geophysics, 8, (6), 347--355.
Hello G., F. Bouttier 2001
Estimation of the representativeness error due to the incremental formulation of variational assimilation.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, (575), 1775--1794.
Desroziers, G., O. Brachemi and B. Hamadache 2001
Diagnosis and adaptive tuning of information parameters in a variational assimilation.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 127, (574), 1433--1452.
Desroziers, G. and S. Ivanov 2001

2000

L'origine des dépressions météorologiques sur l Atlantique: nouvelle perspective climatologique
Comptes-Rendus de l Académie des Sciences de Paris, Sciences de la Terre et des Planètes, 330, 173--178.
Ayrault F. et A. Joly 2000
Une nouvelle typologie des dépressions météorologiques: classification des phases de maturation.
Comptes-Rendus de l Académie des Sciences de Paris, Sciences de la Terre et des Planètes, 330, 167--172.
Ayrault F. et A. Joly 2000
Combined use of sensitivity information and observations to improve meteorological forecast : the Christmas Storm case
Quart.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc., 126, 621-647.
Hello G., F. Lalaurette and J.N. Thepaut. 2000
Modules B5, B6, B7, B8 et B9 de l
Document papier de 74 p., avec fichiers graphiques associés. Transmis au Laboratoire de Prévision
Joly A. 2000
Use of TOVS observations for the identification of tropopause-level thermal anomalies.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1473--1494.
Fourrié N., C. Claud, J. Donnadille, J.P. Cammas, B. Pouponneau and N. Scott 2000
Questions sur les mécanismes et l origine des tempêtes.
http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/fastex/recyf_temp/
Arbogast Ph.,Hello G. et Joly A., 2000. 2000
Multiple potential vorticity inversions in two FASTEX cyclones
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1711--1734
Chaigne, E. and Ph. Arbogast 2000

1999

The impact of aircraft data on an atlantic cyclone analysed in terms of sensitivities and trajectories
Weather and Forecasting, 14, (1), 67-83.
Pouponneau, B., F. Ayrault, T. Bergot, and A. Joly 1999
Effects of a low level precursor and frontal stability on cyclogenesis during FASTEX IOP17
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3415-3438.
Mallet, I., Ph. Arbogast, Ch. Baehr, J.P. Cammas, and P. Mascart 1999
Overview of the field phase of the Fronts and Atlantic Storm-Track Experiment (FASTEX) project.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3131-3164.
Joly, A., K.A. Browning, P. Bessemoulin, J.P. Cammas, G. Caniaux, J.P. Chalon et al 1999
Development and Quality Control of the FASTEX Data Archive.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3165-3188.
Jaubert, G., C. Piriou, S.M. Loehrer, A. Petitpa, and J.A. Moore 1999
Impact of a simplified physical package in 4D-VAR analyses of FASTEX situations.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 2465-2485.
Janisková, M., F. Veersé, J.N. Thépaut, G. Desroziers, and B. Pouponneau 1999
Four dimensional variational analyses of FASTEX situations using special observations.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3339-3358.
Desroziers, G., B. Pouponneau, J.N. Thépaut, M. Janisková, and F. Veersé 1999
FASTEX IOP 17 cyclone: introductory synoptic study with field data
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3393-3414.
Cammas, J.P., B. Pouponneau, G. Desroziers, P. Santurette, A. Joly, Ph. Arbogast, I. Mallet, G. Caniaux and P. Mascart. 1999
Adaptive observations: a feasability study
Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, (5), 743-765
Bergot, T., G. Hello, A. Joly, and S. Malardel 1999
Adaptive observations during FASTEX: a systematic survey of the impact of upstream flights.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3271-3298.
Bergot, T. 1999
Dynamical characterization of the FASTEX cyclogenesis cases
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3469-3494.
Baehr, Ch., B. Pouponneau, F. Ayrault, and A. Joly 1999
Dynamical characterization and summary of the FASTEX cyclogenesis cases
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3469-3494.
Baehr, Ch., B. Pouponneau, F. Ayrault, and A. Joly 1999

1998

Error growth and kalman filtering within an idealized baroclinic flow
Tellus, 50A, 596-615.
Fischer, C., A. Joly, and F. Lalaurette 1998
Potential vorticity inversion of a two-dimensional steady flow: application to symmetric instability.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 317-339.
Arbogast, P. and A. Joly 1998
Identification des précurseurs d'une cyclogenèse.
Compte-Rendus à l'Académie des Sciences, Sciences de la Terre et des planètes, 326, 227-230.
Arbogast, Ph. and A. Joly 1998
Sensitivity to potential vorticity
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 1605-1615.
Arbogast, P. 1998
Development of perturbations within growing baroclinic waves
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 1961-1983
Snyder, C. and A. Joly 1998
Fiche bilan du projet FASTEX.
Evaluation du programme PATOM, 12p
Joly, A. 1998
The Fronts and Atlantic Storm-Track Experiment (FASTEX).
Proceedings, European Climate Science Conference, Vienna, 12p 19-23 Oct. 1998
Joly , A., Y. Lemaître, S. Clough, K. Commins, P. Lynch, F.H. Sigurdsson, J.P. Cammas 1998
Microphysical processes in mid-latitude layer clouds for climate and data assimilation: proposal for tuning and validation experiments
23 pages html disponibles sur le serveur du projet FASTEX-CSS à Reading.
Lopez Ph. et A. Joly 1998
Microphysical processes in mid-latitude layer clouds for climate and data assimilation: proposal for tuning and validation experiments
23 pages html disponibles sur le serveur du projet FASTEX-CSS à Reading.
Lopez Ph. et A. Joly 1998

1997

The Fronts and Atlantic Storm-Track Experiment (FASTEX): Scientific Objectives and Experimental Design.
Bull. Amer. Soc., 78, (9), 1917-1940.
Joly, A., D. Jorgensen, M.A. Shapiro, A.J. Thorpe, P. Bessemoulin, K.A. Browning, J.P. Cammas, J.P. Chalon, S.A. Clough, 1997
A Coordinate change for data assimilation in spherical geometry of frontal structures.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, (11), 3030-3038.
Desroziers G. 1997
Identification des précurseurs d'une cyclogenèse
Compte-Rendus à l'Académie des Sciences, Sciences de la Terre et des planètes, 326, 227-230.
Arbogast Ph., Joly A. 1997

1996

Consequence of the Geostrophic Momentum Approximation on barotropic instability
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, (1), 104-112
Malardel S., A.J. Thorpe et A. Joly 1996
Some aspects of the sensitivity of idealized frontal waves
Beitr. Phys. Atmos., 69, (4), 517-533.
Horanyi A. et A. Joly, 1996 1996

1995

Meso-beta circulations in realistic fronts. Part II: frontogenetically forced basic states
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 1285-1322
C. Fischer and F. Lalaurette 1995
The stability of steady fronts and the adjoint method : non-modal frontal waves.
J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 17, 3082-3108.
Joly A 1995
Meso-beta circulations in realistic fronts. Part I: steady basic state.
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 1255-1284
Fischer C. and Lalaurette F. 1995
North Atlantic ultra high frequency variability; an introductory survey
Tellus (1995), 47A, 671-696.
Ayrault F., F. Lalaurette, A. Joly and C. Loo 1995

1993

Non-linear evolution of ordinary frontal waves induced by low-level potential vorticity anomalies
Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 681-713
S. Malardel and A. Joly and F. Courbet and Ph. Courtier 1993