Updated on jeu sep 15 17:03:44 CEST 2005

AMMA DRY-RUN 2005
 VALIDATION FOR 1309

METEO-FRANCE  CNRM/GMME/MOANA

1) 24 HOUR PERIOD (06UTC(J)-06UTC(J+1))
PRECIPITATION OBSERVATIONS






Figure 1: NOAA-CPC precipitation estimate for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)



Figure 2: NOAA-CPC precipitation reports (SYNOP) for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)



Figure 3:  Multi-satellite IR loop over Africa for 1309.

2.a) 24 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM GLOBAL MODELS





Figure 4: ARPEGE, ARPEGE-Tropiques, ECMWF, UK-Global models precipitation forecasts for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC). Vizualization through METEO-FRANCE SYNERGIE system.



Figure 5: NOAA-NCEP-GFS precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)

2.b) 24 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM LIMITED AREA MODELS


Figure 6: NOAA-NCEP-ETA precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 00UTC to 1409 00UTC)

Figure 7: IPSL-LMDZ precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)




Figure 8: UK-LAM precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)


Figure 9: ALADIN-NORAF precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)


Figure 10: MESO-NH Chimie precipitation forecast for 1309 (1309 06UTC to 1409 06UTC)

3) 6 HOUR PERIOD (00-06, 06-12, 12-18, 18-24)
PRECIPITATION OBSERVATIONS



Figure 11: TRMM precipitation rate for 1309 at 03, 09, 15, 21 UTC.

4.a) 6 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM GLOBAL MODELS

Figure 12:  ARPEGE 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309.


Figure 13:  ARPEGE Tropiques 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309


Figure 14:  ECMWF 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309


Figure 15:  UK Global model 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309


Figure 16:  IPSL-LMDZ 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309

4.b) 6 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM LIMITED AREA MODELS


Figure 17:  UK-LAM 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309


Figure 18:  ALADIN-NORAF 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 1309