Updated on jeu sep 29 09:34:51 CEST 2005

AMMA DRY-RUN 2005
 VALIDATION FOR 2508

METEO-FRANCE  CNRM/GMME/MOANA

1) 24 HOUR PERIOD (06UTC(J)-06UTC(J+1))
PRECIPITATION OBSERVATIONS





Figure 1: NOAA-CPC precipitation estimate for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)



Figure 2: NOAA-CPC precipitation reports (SYNOP) for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)



Figure 3:  Multi-satellite IR loop over Africa for 2508.

2.a) 24 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM GLOBAL MODELS





Figure 4: ARPEGE, ARPEGE-Tropiques, ECMWF, UK-Global models precipitation forecasts for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC). Vizualization through METEO-FRANCE SYNERGIE system.

Figure 5: NOAA-NCEP-GFS precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)

2.b) 24 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM LIMITED AREA MODELS


Figure 6: NOAA-NCEP-ETA precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 00UTC to 2608 00UTC)

Figure 7: IPSL-LMDZ precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)




Figure 8: UK-LAM precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)


Figure 9: ALADIN-NORAF precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)


Figure 10: MESO-NH Chimie precipitation forecast for 2508 (2508 06UTC to 2608 06UTC)

3) 6 HOUR PERIOD (00-06, 06-12, 12-18, 18-24)
PRECIPITATION OBSERVATIONS



Figure 11: TRMM precipitation rate for 2508 at 03, 09, 15, 21 UTC.

4.a) 6 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM GLOBAL MODELS

Figure 12:  ARPEGE 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508.


Figure 13:  ARPEGE Tropiques 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508


Figure 14:  ECMWF 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508


Figure 15:  UK Global model 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508


Figure 16:  IPSL-LMDZ 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508

4.b) 6 HOUR CUMULATED RAINFALL FORECASTS FROM LIMITED AREA MODELS


Figure 17:  UK-LAM 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508


Figure 18:  ALADIN-NORAF 6-hour cumulated precipitation forecast for 2508