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Conclusions
of the working group on moist physics and convection
Medulin, 4 June 2002
1. Physical challenges
- The time response in specific situations calls for the use of prognostic
variables for convective mass fluxes and micro-physics.
- A representation of cloud suspended water, with at least liquid and ice
phases is urgently needed.
- A new specific shallow convection scheme is required, probably using a
mass flux approach.
- The triggering of the convection has to be assessed more closely. We may
distinguish two different regimes:
- passive: large scale convergence induces convection (nearly the present closure);
- active: deep convection induces large scale convergence.
For the latter, we can consider
- the links with other subgrid schemes (turbulent diffusion and the future
shallow convection scheme); the coexistence of three or more schemes requires
also some work to ensure a smooth transition between them.
- Various predictants may or should intervene: CAPE, CIN, PBL moisture
convergence, TKE...
- Cloud top has been shown to be more correlated to saturation deficit than
to the CAPE. The saturation deficit and the DCAPE are then relevant
predictants for cloud decay. The idea is to combine Cloud Top Evaporative
Instability representation with the downdraught and/or the mass flux shallow
convection scheme.
2. Operational efficiency
The correct behaviour of the physical schemes has to be checked and
certified in a more systematic way. For this, the following actions are planned:
- Setting an alarm in the 3D operational model on the total physical
tendency, reporting unlikely values and their location in the log file. This
requires an adaptation of cpg for the next cycle of the model.
Jean-Marcel Piriou and Eric Bazile will arrange this for the end of July.
- A validation chart for physics will be issued. The test suite will include
at least
- Single column model validation with respect to experimental profiles
extracted from the 3D model;
- Aladin 3D model tests;
- ARPEGE 3D tests using zonal DDH, in order to control zonal biases: these
biases directly affect 4DVAR assimilation cycle stability
J.M. Piriou and E. Bazile will prepare this chart.
- A documented database of critical/dangerous/typical profiles extracted
from the 3D model to force the single column model should be made available.
Contributions should come from all centers, extracting the information as
soon as they observe singular behaviours of the physical schemes.
- The DDH do not presently work properly in Aladin.
Yves Bouteloup will try to fix the problem.
- Extraction of profiles to force the single column model (tendencies along
the run) does not work properly in Aladin.
Jean Marcel Piriou will do the debugging work.
3. Development work plan
Starting with the proposition from the working group in Toulouse, after
further discussion, the following plan has been adopted:
- Separation of
- Updraught, large scale condensation, condensation-evaporation micro-physics;
- downdraught and final budgets.
For this, we must
- harmonize the updraught and large scale precipitation parameterisations,
use a diagnostic cloudiness variable consistent with micro-physics, consider
non organized evaporation below the precipitating clouds.
- Isolate the downdraught (using the total precipitation as input) and
complete it with something like LCVLIS for global budgets consistency.
This part will be developed by Thomas Haiden, in mail contact with Luc
Gerard and Eric Bazile. Validation will also be coordinated by mail and
performed at different centers.
- Development of a new mass flux scheme for shallow convection.
Thomas Haiden proposes to work on this subject, with 1 or 2 colleagues from
the LACE group to join the work.
Jean-Marcel Piriou, who focuses on the issue of transition between shallow and
deep convection, may also develop a shallow convection scheme.
- Adaptation of Lopez's prognostic micro-physics, to separate the ice and
liquid phases of the condensate, and return provisionally to a diagnostic
precipitation content.
Luc Gerard works on it, in collaboration with Karim Bergaoui.
- Further work on the functional boxes scheme, introducing the downdraught
at the same level as micro-physics.
Eric Bazile continues this work.
- Further work on L. Gerard's prognostic mass flux scheme:
- Further validation :
Stefan Greilberger will analyse new cases during this summer, Karim
Bergaoui will carry tests over Tunisia.
- Towards a 3D updraught mesh fraction, and new developments for the
updraught with prognostic condensates:
L. Gerard continues his developments, and will have more contacts with K. Bergaoui
- Handling precipitating water (as in Lopez's scheme):
Luc Gerard will care for this part, in the frame of the development of a
full forecasting scheme for the draughts (+ collaborations with K. Bergaoui).
Additional remarks:
- Jean-François Geleyn, Doina Banciu and Martin Bellus - absent at
this meeting - are also expected to participate to the development work around
physics and micro-physics.
- Last minute news: two more persons are likely to join the team, Alexander
Kann from ZAMG and a Hungarian newcomer, with interests in shallow convection
and cloud micro-physics respectively.
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